Mind & Self
Mental Models & Famous Laws
A latticework for clearer thinking
Novice
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Novice
Mind & Self
A latticework for clearer thinking
Novice
Subdomain
Ways to think more clearly: first principles, Occam's razor, Bayes. They cut through stories and back to what the evidence supports.
Lindy effect
For non-perishable things, the longer something has existed, the longer it's likely to keep existing.
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Chesterton's fence
A principle that before removing a rule, structure, or tradition, you should first understand why it exists.
Open
Bayes' theorem
A rule from probability theory that specifies how to update the probability of a hypothesis when new evidence arrives.
Open
Inversion
A problem solving technique that starts from the undesired outcome and works backward to identify the actions or conditions most likely to produce it, then avoids them.
Open
Steelmanning
The practice of constructing and engaging with the strongest possible version of an opposing argument, rather than its weakest or caricatured form.
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Mental model
A compact, transferable way of thinking, a lens for decisions.
Latticework
Munger: a small set of strong models from many fields, used together.
Inversion
Solving by avoiding failure modes instead of chasing success.
Opportunity cost
Next-best alternative forgone.
Sunk cost
Money/time already spent and unrecoverable.
Steelman
Strongest possible version of an opposing argument.
Antifragile
Improves under disorder, beyond just robust.
Second-order effect
Consequence of the consequence.